Match Info

League Two - Round 34

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Highbury Stadium (Fleetwood)

Referee: Bell E. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Fleetwood Town		Barrow

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.5
	1.98	3.55	3.45
	2.02	3.6	3.57
	2	3.53	3.51	Watch
	2	3.3	3.4
	1.96	3.62	3.52	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.07)	3.54 ↑ (3.35)	3.47 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fleetwood Town
46.8%

Draw
26.3%

Barrow
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

27.4%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

24%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fleetwood Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fleetwood Town than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fleetwood Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	18.2%	36.4%

Fleetwood Town - Barrow Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Fleetwood will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fleetwood: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fleetwood (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lynch J. (G) 26. Rooney S. 35. Haughey C. 5. Potter F. 6. Bonds E. (C) 24. Clark M. 8. Virtue-Thick M. 10. Helm M. 16. Ennis E. 9. Davies W. 29. Devonport O.	1. Stanway W. (G) 29. Barkhuizen T. 26. Thompson J. 6. Canavan N. (C) 22. Anderson J. 11. Newby E. 45. Harper R. 14. McCann C. 7. Jackson B. 25. Gordon J. 33. Rose D.
Substitutes
17. Evans C. 37. Hewitson L. (G) 32. Hughes K. 38. McLean C. 20. Neal H. 7. Osong D. E. 22. Powell J.	21. Earing J. 20. Fletcher I. 23. Mahoney C. 19. Malcolm J. 3. Shipley L. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)
Coaches
Lawlor M.	Maamria D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
11', Lynch J. 🟨,
12', 0 - 1, Gordon J. (Penalty Awarded),
34', 0 - 2, Canavan N. ⚽, McCann C. (A),
42', Newby E. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
45+2', Harper R. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Devonport O. ↓, Evans C. ↑,
61', Davies W. ↓, Osong D. E. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Osong D. E. ⚽,
73', Evans C. 🟨,
75', Rose D. ↓, Malcolm J. ↑,
79', Clark M. ↓, McLean C. ↑,
79', Virtue-Thick M. ↓, Powell J. ↑,
86', Gordon J. 🟨,
89', 2 - 2, McLean C. ⚽, Osong D. E. (A),
90+2', Jackson B. 🟨,
90+4', 3 - 2, Stanway W. (Own goal),
90+6', Helm M. ↓, Neal H. ↑,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 20).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 2.

Fleetwood has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Fleetwood may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fleetwood is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Fleetwood: Coughlan R. (Inactive) Hume D. (Inactive) Johnson W. (Inactive) McCann L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Inactive) Fletcher I. (Inactive) Foley S. (Surgery) Hemmings K. (Injury) Smith S. (Inactive) Williams M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Fleetwood: Bolton J. (Inactive) Morrison G. (Inactive) Norwood J. (Inactive)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fleetwood won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.3:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Fleetwood won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Fleetwood	10	2	5	3	10:11	-1	11

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.22%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fleetwood Town
English League Two
17.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Fleetwood Town	1:1 ✺
07.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Bromley	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Fleetwood Town - Notts County	1:2 ✺
27.01.26	Harrogate Town - Fleetwood Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTLLW
- Barrow
English League Two
17.02.26	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barrow - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barrow	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Notts County - Barrow	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Swindon Town - Barrow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
30.08.25	Barrow - Fleetwood Town	0:1
18.04.25	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	0:0
21.12.24	Barrow - Fleetwood Town	2:0
English EFL Trophy
08.10.24	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:0
30.08.22	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	1:2 penalties
05.10.21	Barrow - Fleetwood Town	1:3

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