Match Info

League Two - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)


	Barrow		Gillingham

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.95	3.25	2.35
	2.68	3.2	2.58	Watch
	2.73	3.28	2.68
	2.85	3.18	2.47	Watch
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.71	3.22	2.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.86)	3.19 ↑ (3.15)	2.52 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
33.8%

Draw
29.2%

Gillingham
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

29.1%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Gillingham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gillingham than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Barrow - Gillingham Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Gillingham will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 29. Barkhuizen T. 26. Thompson J. 6. Canavan N. (C) 22. Anderson J. 45. Harper R. 14. McCann C. 7. Jackson B. 25. Gordon J. 19. Malcolm J. 33. Rose D.	25. Turner J. (G) 2. Hutton R. 5. Smith A. 39. Beckles O. 30. Gale S. 3. Clark M. 14. McKenzie R. 36. Antwi C. 8. Little A. (C) 12. Palmer-Houlden S. 38. Hale R.
Substitutes
24. Anderson F. 20. Fletcher I. 23. Mahoney C. 11. Newby E. 10. Walker T. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	32. Cirino L. 6. Coleman E. 23. Dack B. 1. Morris G. (G) 11. Rowe A. 19. Vokes S. 21. Williams E.
Coaches
Maamria D.	Ainsworth G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Antwi C. ↓, Williams E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Little A. ↓, Coleman E. ↑,
71', Malcolm J. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
85', Rose D. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
90', Palmer-Houlden S. ↓, Vokes S. ↑,
90', Clark M. ↓, Cirino L. ↑,
90+1', Hutton R. ↓, Rowe A. ↑,
90+3', Gordon J. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
90+13', 0 - 1, McKenzie R. ⚽, Williams E. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 22 and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F. (Inactive) Foley S. (Surgery) Hemmings K. (Injury) Smith S. (Inactive) Williams M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gillingham: Khumbeni N. (Inactive) Masterson C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Barrow: Raglan C. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Gillingham: Cirino L. (Inactive) Smith J. (Injury) Wyllie M. (Inactive)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Gillingham: 2%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Gillingham	10	4	4	2	15:10	5	16

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 32.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
21.02.26	Fleetwood Town - Barrow	3:2 ✺
17.02.26	Barrow - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Barrow - Colchester United	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barrow	2:1 ✺
07.02.26	Notts County - Barrow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWLL
- Gillingham FC
English League Two
21.02.26	Gillingham - Oldham Athletic	0:3 ✺
17.02.26	Chesterfield - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
03.02.26	Notts County - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.12.25	Gillingham - Barrow	2:2
08.02.25	Barrow - Gillingham	3:0
28.09.24	Gillingham - Barrow	2:0
13.04.24	Gillingham - Barrow	3:0
05.03.24	Barrow - Gillingham	2:0
01.04.23	Barrow - Gillingham	2:1
22.10.22	Gillingham - Barrow	1:1

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