Match Info

League Two - Round 36

Date: 7 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Memorial Stadium (Bristol)

Referee: Duckworth E. (Eng)


	Bristol Rovers		Crewe Alexandra

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	3	Watch
	2.38	3.2	2.98	Watch
	2.42	3.35	3.04
	2.32	3.35	2.94	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3
	2.29	3.38	2.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.18)	3.31 ↓ (3.36)	2.99 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bristol Rovers
40.4%

Draw
28.3%

Crewe Alexandra
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

27.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28.3%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bristol Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bristol Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Bristol Rovers will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Crewe will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Young B. (G) 2. Senior J. 17. Balmer K. 5. Kilgour A. (C) 3. Sparkes J. 10. Akhamrich Y. 36. Smallwood R. 6. Mola C. 14. Thompson-Sommers K. 27. Quigley J. 19. Harrison E.	41. Lawlor I. (G) 18. Connolly J. 5. Demetriou M. (C) 25. Pond A. 2. Billington L. 23. Powell J. 8. Thomas C. 3. Hutchinson R. 26. O'Reilly T. 17. Holicek M. 24. March J.
Substitutes
29. Cavegn F. 15. De Havilland R. 24. Leigh T. 12. Lockyer T. 35. Rijks M. 1. Southwood L. (G) 11. Thomas L.	20. Agius C. 9. Bogle O. 1. Booth T. (G) 14. Finney C. 7. Lankester J. 6. Sanders M. H. 29. Thibaut A.
Coaches
Evans S.	Bell L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Pond A. ⚽,
30', Billington L. 🟨,
33', Harrison E. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Akhamrich Y. ↓, De Havilland R. ↑,
46', Thompson-Sommers K. ↓, Leigh T. ↑,
46', Harrison E. ↓, Cavegn F. ↑,
62', Thomas C. ↓, Sanders M. H. ↑,
62', Powell J. ↓, Agius C. ↑,
63', March J. ↓, Bogle O. ↑,
73', O'Reilly T. ↓, Lankester J. ↑,
78', Smallwood R. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
84', Sanders M. H. 🟨,
87', 1 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽, Senior J. (A),
90+2', 2 - 1, Leigh T. ⚽,
90+5', Connolly J. 🟨,
90+6', Balmer K. 🟨,
90+6', Mola C. 🟨,
90+6', Bogle O. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Bristol Rovers is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Crewe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bristol Rovers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bristol Rovers: Harbottle R. (Inactive) McEachran J. (Inactive) Southam-Hales M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Crewe: Lunt O. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)

There are questionable in Bristol Rovers: Forde S. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Crewe: Sanders M. H. (Inactive) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bristol Rovers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.4:1.4).

Including home match between the teams, Bristol Rovers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of English League Two for now

Bristol Rovers: 8.17% Crewe: 3.91%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Crewe	10	4	6	0	12:7	5	18
9	Bristol Rovers	10	5	0	5	15:17	-2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bristol Rovers
English League Two
28.02.26	Swindon Town - Bristol Rovers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town	3:1 ✺
17.02.26	Oldham Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Cambridge United - Bristol Rovers	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Chesterfield	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLLL
- Crewe Alexandra
English League Two
28.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Swindon Town - Crewe Alexandra	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Crewe Alexandra - Gillingham	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Crawley Town - Crewe Alexandra	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
19.12.25	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	1:1
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	2:4
English League One
01.05.21	Bristol Rovers - Crewe Alexandra	0:1
19.01.21	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	3:2
English League Two
09.04.12	Crewe Alexandra - Bristol Rovers	N/A

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