Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 33

Date: 13 February 2024, Tuesday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Smith L. (Eng)


	Barrow		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.75
	1.65	3.75	5
	1.68	3.75	5	Watch
	1.63	3.7	4.8
	1.69	3.85	5.36
	1.62	3.7	5
	1.66	3.8	5.02	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	3.79 ↑ (3.69)	4.97 ↑ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
56.5%

Draw
24.7%

Forest Green Rovers
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.1%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.7%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	5.3%	15.8%

Barrow - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Barrow will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Farman P. (G) 17. Chester J. 5. Ray G. 6. Canavan N. (C) 7. Worrall D. 13. White T. 16. Foley S. 15. Gotts R. 11. Newby E. 34. Whitfield B. 23. Stockton C.	39. Reyes V. (G) 5. Inniss R. (C) 36. Keogh R. 17. Robson J. 25. Dabo F. 46. Osadebe E. 8. McCann C. 16. Thompson D. 7. McAllister K. 9. Stevens M. 10. Doidge C.
Substitutes
20. Acquah E. 4. Campbell D. 12. Lillis J. (G) 8. Spence K. 18. Stephenson L. 19. Telford D.	3. Bernard D. 27. Bunker H. 4. Johnson D. 28. Jones C. 23. Omotoye T. 22. Oyedele M. 20. Searle J. (G)
Coaches
Wild P.	Cotterill S.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3.

Recent matches Barrow is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Forest Green is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Barrow is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 17-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
10.02.24	AFC Wimbledon - Barrow	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Barrow - Milton Keynes Dons	1:0 ✺
27.01.24	Notts County - Barrow	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Barrow - Crewe Alexandra	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Sutton United - Barrow	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLT
- Forest Green Rovers
English League Two
10.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Mansfield Town	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Colchester United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
27.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Accrington Stanley	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	Gillingham - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
13.01.24	Forest Green Rovers - Harrogate Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLTL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
24.10.23	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	0:2
15.04.22	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	4:0
23.11.21	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	2:0
27.04.21	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	0:2
21.11.20	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	2:2
English National League
28.01.17	Barrow - Forest Green Rovers	2:3
01.10.16	Forest Green Rovers - Barrow	0:0

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