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Current Win Probability
Forest Green Rovers 55.8%
Draw 23.2%
Hartlepool United 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
57.1%
22.8%
20%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
22.1%
19.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 16th and 22nd in the Relegation).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2.
In recent outings, Forest Green has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Hartlepool has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Forest Green could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Forest Green is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Forest Green has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Forest Green against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).
Outrights of English National League for now
Forest Green: 2.36% Hartlepool: 0.62%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Forest Green
11
4
3
4
17:18
-1
15
22
Hartlepool
12
3
0
9
8:17
-9
9
Last Results with these Odds
Forest Green Rovers - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.15%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.