Match Info

National League - Round 13

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: The New Lawn (Nailsworth) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Albania	18:30	DAZN
Argentina	13:30	DAZN
Austria	18:30	DAZN
Bolivia	12:30	DAZN
Brazil	13:30	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	19:30	DAZN
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:30	DAZN
Cyprus	19:30	DAZN
Czech Republic	18:30	DAZN
Denmark	18:30	DAZN
Ecuador	11:30	DAZN
Finland	19:30	DAZN
France	18:30	DAZN France
Germany	18:30	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	19:30	DAZN
Hungary	18:30	DAZN
Italy	18:30	DAZN Italia
Japan	01:30	DAZN Japan
Latvia	19:30	DAZN
Lithuania	19:30	DAZN
New Zealand	05:30	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	18:30	DAZN
Norway	18:30	DAZN
Paraguay	13:30	DAZN
Poland	18:30	DAZN
Portugal	17:30	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	19:30	DAZN
Serbia	18:30	DAZN
Slovenia	18:30	DAZN
Spain	18:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:30	DAZN
Switzerland	18:30	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	00:30	DAZN
Turkey	19:30	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	19:30	DAZN
United Kingdom	17:30	DAZN
Uruguay	13:30	DAZN
Usa	12:30	DAZN USA
Venezuela	12:30	DAZN
International	16:30	DAZN National League


	Forest Green Rovers		Hartlepool United

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.00	4.50
	1.61	3.80	4.20
	1.74	3.75	4.00
	1.69	4.08	4.78
	1.68	4.03	4.45	Watch
	1.67	3.85	4.70
	1.58	3.96	4.54
	1.63	4.10	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	3.95 ↓ (4.08)	4.46 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Forest Green Rovers
55.9%

Draw
23.4%

Hartlepool United
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.1%

22.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9%

22.1%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Hartlepool United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Forest Green will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ross E. (G) 29. Abrefa K. 24. McIntyre T. 5. Ajayi K. 27. Sass F. 6. Campbell T. 25. Kelly K. 20. Etaluku S. 7. McAllister K. (C) 4. Clarke J. 19. Marquez J.	53. Thompson M. (G) 14. Sheron N. 6. McNally R. 11. Charman L. 9. Hugill J. 42. Deeming C. 4. Hunter J. (C) 7. Ilunga B. 51. Earing J. 19. Popov C. 12. Eccleston N.
Substitutes
8. Haughton N. 3. Kengni N. . Mabete F. 12. McNicholas L. (G) 9. Mellor D. 14. Patrick O. 2. Pemberton T.	30. Bondo T. 3. Clark M. 32. Fisher N. (G) 10. Harris W. 17. Nolan J. 15. Penman C. 21. Thornton C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Sheron N. 🟨,
39', Charman L. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Hugill J. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', Clarke J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
48', 0 - 2, Sheron N. ⚽,
51', Abrefa K. 🟨,
51', Marquez J. ↓, Mellor D. ↑,
55', Earing J. ↓, Nolan J. ↑,
55', Charman L. ↓, Thornton C. ↑,
57', 0 - 3, Hugill J. ⚽,
57', Sass F. ↓, Patrick O. ↑,
57', Kelly K. ↓, Kengni N. ↑,
63', Hugill J. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
65', 1 - 3, Patrick O. ⚽, McAllister K. (A),
65', Campbell T. ↓, Haughton N. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, McAllister K. (Penalty Awarded),
74', Popov C. ↓, Clark M. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Sheron N. ⚽, Nolan J. (A),
90+5', Thornton C. 🟨,

Preview

Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 16th and 22nd in the Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Forest Green won 2.

Forest Green has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Hartlepool is on a prolonged losing streak (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Forest Green could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Forest Green carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Forest Green has recorded 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:5 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Forest Green against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 3:1 goals (averaging 1:0.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15
20	Hartlepool	15	5	0	10	15:23	-8	15

Outrights of English National League for now

Forest Green: 0.9% Hartlepool: 0.42%

Last Results with these Odds

Forest Green Rovers - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 57.15%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Forest Green Rovers
English National League North
29.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Wealdstone	1:1 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	3:3 ✺
19.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	1:3 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TTLTW
- Hartlepool United
English National League
03.10.26	Hartlepool United - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
English National League North
29.09.26	Hartlepool United - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
English National League
26.09.26	Scunthorpe United - Hartlepool United	4:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hartlepool United - Worthing	1:3 ✺
English National League North
16.09.26	Altrincham - Hartlepool United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
18.04.26	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	2:1
06.09.25	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0
05.05.25	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
28.09.24	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:0
English League Two
09.04.22	Forest Green Rovers - Hartlepool United	1:1
20.11.21	Hartlepool United - Forest Green Rovers	1:3

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