Match Info

National League - Round 10

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: VBS Community Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	DAZN
Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	DAZN
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New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
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Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovenia	DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye
Ukraine	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN
World	DAZN National League


	Sutton United		Forest Green Rovers

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.40	2.40
	2.55	3.20	2.37
	2.75	3.35	2.33
	2.76	3.37	2.59
	2.7	3.39	2.47	Watch
	2.70	3.30	2.50
	2.66	3.48	2.46
	2.70	3.35	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (2.82)	3.36 ↓ (3.52)	2.45 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutton United
34.6%

Draw
27.6%

Forest Green Rovers
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

26.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.3%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutton United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Forest Green Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sutton United than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Forest Green Rovers than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sutton will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Brits S. (G) 12. Urpens D. 5. Nightingale W. 17. Byron T. 27. Brookes B. 19. Knight J. 8. Taylor J. (C) 10. Carter C. 7. Osadebe E. 9. Babalola T. 18. Ogbonna D.	1. Ross E. (G) 29. Abrefa K. 26. Mabete F. 5. Ajayi K. 27. Sass F. 6. Campbell T. 4. Clarke J. 7. McAllister K. (C) 19. Marquez J. 20. Etaluku S. 11. Berry J.
Substitutes
6. Bell C. 2. Donkor K. 11. Folarin S. 13. Haigh Ch. (G) 16. Njoku B. 23. Nzuzi N. 3. Topalloj B.	17. Ewing O. 31. Fearon P. 8. Haughton N. 18. Ifeanyi B. 15. Kircough G. 12. McNicholas L. (G) 2. Pemberton T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Clarke J. ⚽,
17', Knight J. 🟨,
18', Sass F. 🟨,
42', Taylor J. 🟨,
43', Marquez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Byron T. ↓, Topalloj B. ↑,
46', Berry J. ↓, Ewing O. ↑,
48', 0 - 2, Ewing O. ⚽,
52', Sass F. 🟨,
56', Ewing O. ↓, Pemberton T. ↑,
61', Marquez J. ↓, Kircough G. ↑,
65', Urpens D. ↓, Nzuzi N. ↑,
71', Etaluku S. ↓, Ifeanyi B. ↑,
71', Taylor J. ↓, Njoku B. ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Njoku B. ⚽,
73', 1 - 3, McAllister K. ⚽, Clarke J. (A),
79', 2 - 3, Carter C. ⚽,
83', Ogbonna D. ↓, Folarin S. ↑,
90+2', Clarke J. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Babalola T. ⚽,

Preview

An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ National League PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 14th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sutton won 1.

Recent results have been tough for Sutton (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Forest Green have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Sutton has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:17 (averaging 0.9:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Sutton against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:8 goals (averaging 1:1.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Sutton	13	5	3	5	14:18	-4	18
16	Forest Green	12	4	3	5	19:22	-3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Forest Green Rovers - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.71%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutton United
English National League
19.09.26	Halifax Town - Sutton United	1:1 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Sutton United - Eastleigh	2:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Sutton United - Scunthorpe United	0:2 ✺
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Sutton United - Birmingham City U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
05.09.26	Barrow - Sutton United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TWLLL
- Forest Green Rovers
English National League
19.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Boston United	1:3 ✺
English National League North
15.09.26	Carlisle United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1 ✺
English National League
12.09.26	Forest Green Rovers - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
05.09.26	Hornchurch - Forest Green Rovers	0:1 ✺
English National League North
31.08.26	Forest Green Rovers - Altrincham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League
17.01.26	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1
20.08.25	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	4:0
11.03.25	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	2:1
31.08.24	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	1:2
English League Two
16.03.24	Forest Green Rovers - Sutton United	0:1
02.09.23	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	0:1
12.02.22	Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers	1:1

Sutton United - Forest Green Rovers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide