The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Barrow 60.9%
Draw 24.2%
Hartlepool United 14.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
26.4%
20.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54%
26.1%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barrow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barrow's performance.
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hartlepool United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barrow that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hartlepool United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.9%
2.9%
14.3%
Barrow - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Barrow will win
(29 of 35 users predict this - 82.86%). Confidence interval (95%): 70.37% – 95.35%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs) and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Barrow has the most likely position - 9 (7.91%), has project points - 69, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (26%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (33.3%), has project points - 39, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality7, importance32, small match rating20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 2.
Two teams are playing changeable.
Hartlepool could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Barrow have a series of home games.
In this match Barrow is a favorite.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Barrow won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.
Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.
Watch
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