The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stevenage Borough 67.7%
Draw 20.4%
Hartlepool United 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.1%
22.9%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
22.4%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stevenage Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stevenage Borough's performance.
Hartlepool United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stevenage Borough that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartlepool United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85%
0%
15%
Stevenage Borough - Hartlepool United Predictions
Users Predictions:
Stevenage Borough will win
(17 of 20 users predict this - 85%). Confidence interval (95%): 69.35% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 23 in the zone Relegation).
Stevenage has the most likely position - 1 (12.85%), has project points - 79, has currently - 36, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (34%), has a chance of promoted (43%), has a small chance of win league (13%).
Hartlepool has the most likely position - 24 (34.04%), has project points - 40, has currently - 12, has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality7, importance50, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 3.
Recent matches Stevenage is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hartlepool is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Stevenage could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Stevenage is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Stevenage won 8 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 20-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Stevenage won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-1.
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