Match Info

League Two - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Martin R. (Eng)


	Barrow		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.1	3.4	3.2
	2.18	3.25	3.25
	2.27	3.35	3.25
	3.03	2.41	3.02	Watch
	2.18	3.22	3.3	Watch
	2.06	3.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.27)	3.18 ↓ (3.22)	3.22 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barrow
41.2%

Draw
29.5%

Shrewsbury Town
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

29%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

26.8%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Barrow have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Shrewsbury Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Barrow - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Shrewsbury will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barrow: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 5. Raglan C. 3. Shipley L. 23. Mahoney C. 21. Earing J. 4. Williams M. (C) 11. Newby E. 29. Barkhuizen T. 25. Gordon J. 20. Fletcher I.	12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 26. Stubbs S. 5. Boyle W. 10. Sang T. 14. Perry T. 8. Biggins H. 6. Clucas S. 20. Kabia I. 27. Marquis J. (C) 11. Scully A.
Substitutes
22. Booty R. 18. Cameron I. 45. Harper R. 10. Walker T. 34. Whitfield B. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	15. Aneke Ch. 3. Benning M. 38. England I. 1. Harrison E. (G) 48. Ihionvien B. 9. Lloyd G. 7. McDermott T.
Coaches
Whing A.	Appleton M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
44', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Harper R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Earing J. ↓, Booty R. ↑,
69', Mahoney C. ↓, Walker T. ↑,
69', Newby E. ↓, Whitfield B. ↑,
73', Biggins H. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
73', Scully A. ↓, England I. ↑,
74', Gordon J. 🟨,
80', Marquis J. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
80', Sang T. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
90+1', Fletcher I. 🟨,
90+3', Kabia I. 🟨,
90+6', Aneke Ch. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

In recent matches, Barrow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Shrewsbury is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Barrow could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Hamstring Injury) Canavan N. (Injury) Foley S. (Injury) Healey R. (Injury) Hemmings K. (Injury)

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Anderson T. (Hamstring Injury)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Sang T. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 41.22%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
27.09.25	Crawley Town - Barrow	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Barrow - Crewe Alexandra	1:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
16.09.25	Blackpool - Barrow	5:0 ✺
English League Two
13.09.25	Bristol Rovers - Barrow	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Barrow - Swindon Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
27.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Milton Keynes Dons	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Harrogate Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Salford City	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Barnet - Shrewsbury Town	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LLLWL

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