Match Info

League Two - Round 7

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Holker Street (Barrow in Furness)

Referee: Stockbridge S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Barrow		Swindon Town

	1	X	2
	2.85	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.3	2.3
	3.05	3.25	2.28	Watch
	3.07	3.53	2.29
	5.77	4.44	1.48	Watch
	2.5	3	2.7
	3.1	3.32	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↑ (2.61)	3.48 ↑ (3.28)	2.22 ↓ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Barrow
28.9%

Draw
27.7%

Swindon Town
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

28.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.

Swindon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Swindon Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swindon Town than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Swindon Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	18.2%	54.5%

Barrow - Swindon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Swindon will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swindon: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Swindon (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Barrow (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Swindon Town will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Barrow (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Swindon (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stanway W. (G) 7. Jackson B. 5. Raglan C. 3. Shipley L. 27. Worrall D. 21. Earing J. 22. Booty R. 11. Newby E. 25. Gordon J. 29. Barkhuizen T. (C) 10. Walker T.	1. Ripley C. (G) 5. Wright W. (C) 3. Mabete F. 16. Wilson-Brown T. 19. Snowdon J. 7. Nichols T. 18. Kilkenny G. 26. Munroe F. 44. Oldaker D. 9. Glatzel P. 23. Drinan A.
Substitutes
18. Cameron I. 23. Mahoney C. 43. Smith K. 8. Smith S. 31. Winterbottom B. (G)	31. Bodin B. 14. Butterworth D. 8. Clarke O. 20. Ehibhatiomhan P. 33. McGregor J. 28. Palmer O. 12. Ward L. (G)
Coaches
Whing A.	Holloway I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, Drinan A. ⚽, Munroe F. (A),
16', Nichols T. 🟨,
26', Oldaker D. 🟨,
36', 0 - 2, Glatzel P. ⚽, Oldaker D. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Booty R. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
49', Smith S. 🟨,
61', Glatzel P. ↓, Palmer O. ↑,
61', Wilson-Brown T. ↓, Clarke O. ↑,
62', Oldaker D. ↓, Bodin B. ↑,
75', Snowdon J. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
76', Nichols T. ↓, Butterworth D. ↑,
76', Worrall D. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
76', Walker T. ↓, Cameron I. ↑,
77', 0 - 3, Ehibhatiomhan P. ⚽, Drinan A. (A),
80', 1 - 3, Shipley L. ⚽,
85', Kilkenny G. 🟨,
90+3', Jackson B. ↓, Smith K. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 18 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 2.

Barrow has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Swindon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Swindon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Barrow: Adu Poku M. (Hamstring Injury) Canavan N. (Red Card) Fletcher I. (Injury) Harper R. (Hamstring Injury) Williams M. (Hernia)

There will not play in Swindon: Ball J. (Knee Injury) Smith H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Barrow: Foley S. (Injury) Healey R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Swindon: Nichols T. (Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Barrow won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Barrow won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Barrow - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 35.94%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Swindon Town - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.53%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barrow
English League Two
30.08.25	Barrow - Fleetwood Town	0:1 ✺
23.08.25	Colchester United - Barrow	0:2 ✺
19.08.25	Harrogate Town - Barrow	1:0 ✺
16.08.25	Barrow - Notts County	2:1 ✺
English League Cup
12.08.25	Barrow - Preston North End	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWL
- Swindon Town
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Swindon Town - Reading	3:2 ✺
English League Two
30.08.25	Crewe Alexandra - Swindon Town	0:3 ✺
23.08.25	Swindon Town - Shrewsbury Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Swindon Town - Barnet	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Oldham Athletic - Swindon Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
18.01.25	Swindon Town - Barrow	2:0
07.09.24	Barrow - Swindon Town	1:0
06.04.24	Barrow - Swindon Town	0:2
16.12.23	Swindon Town - Barrow	0:3
15.04.23	Swindon Town - Barrow	0:0
17.12.22	Barrow - Swindon Town	0:1
30.04.22	Swindon Town - Barrow	2:1

Upcoming Matches