Match Info

League Two - Round 35

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: The Croud Meadow (Shrewsbury)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Shrewsbury Town		Walsall

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.3
	2.45	3.1	2.9
	2.32	2.98	3.25
	2.34	3.09	3.4
	2.27	3.14	3.22	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3.25
	2.28	3.03	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.78)	3.03 ↓ (3.07)	3.24 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shrewsbury Town
40.5%

Draw
30.7%

Walsall
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

30.2%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

30.2%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shrewsbury Town's performance.

Walsall has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Walsall might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shrewsbury Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Walsall than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Walsall could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Shrewsbury Town - Walsall Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Shrewsbury will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Walsall will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shrewsbury: 55.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shrewsbury (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cox M. (G) 2. Hoole L. 5. Boyle W. (C) 25. Ruffels J. 14. Perry T. 30. Berkoe K. 10. Sang T. 6. Clucas S. 3. Benning M. 9. Lloyd G. 19. Morgan I.	12. Hornby S. (G) 6. Farquharson P. 4. Flint A. (C) 30. Weir E. 14. Comley B. 25. Okeke J. 8. Lakin C. 22. Jellis J. 18. Harper V. 19. Pressley A. 15. Kanu D.
Substitutes
4. Anderson T. 12. Brook W. (G) 16. Freeman N. 20. Kabia I. 7. McDermott T. 21. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 26. Stubbs S.	37. Adomah A. 2. Barrett C. 5. Burke H. 17. Clarke C. 21. Kilroy J. (G) 9. Matt J. 23. Pattison A.
Coaches
Cowan G.	Sadler M. J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 0 - 1, Farquharson P. ⚽, Pressley A. (A),
45+3', Hoole L. ↓, Stubbs S. ↑,
45+6', 1 - 1, Morgan I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Lloyd G. ↓, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↑,
60', Clucas S. ↓, McDermott T. ↑,
61', Boyle W. 🟨,
62', 1 - 2, Farquharson P. ⚽,
68', Perry T. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
68', Benning M. ↓, Kabia I. ↑,
69', Kanu D. ↓, Adomah A. ↑,
82', Lakin C. ↓, Clarke C. ↑,
83', Pressley A. ↓, Matt J. ↑,
85', Hornby S. 🟨,
90+2', Ruffels J. 🟥,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 17 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 1.

Shrewsbury is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Walsall's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Shrewsbury may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Shrewsbury is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Ihionvien B. (Inactive) Marquis J. (Inactive)

There will not play in Walsall: Hollman J. (Inactive) Williams H. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Scully A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Walsall: Matt J. (Inactive) Roofe K. (Inactive) Weir E. (Inactive)

We predict that Shrewsbury will win today's game, with odds of 2.28.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Shrewsbury won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:12. (average 1.1:1.2).

Outrights of English League Two for now

Walsall: 3.15% Shrewsbury: 0.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Walsall	9	3	6	0	12:6	6	15
18	Shrewsbury	10	3	2	5	9:15	-6	11

Last Results with these Odds

Walsall - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.39%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
24.02.26	Salford City - Shrewsbury Town	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	Accrington Stanley - Shrewsbury Town	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Notts County	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Swindon Town	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Shrewsbury Town - Barrow	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.3 WWWWW
- Walsall FC
English League Two
23.02.26	Walsall - Milton Keynes Dons	0:2 ✺
18.02.26	Grimsby Town - Walsall	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Walsall - Barnet	1:3 ✺
03.02.26	Bristol Rovers - Walsall	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Chesterfield - Walsall	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
13.12.25	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	1:1
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	1:3
12.11.24	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	3:0
14.11.23	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	3:2
English League One
04.05.19	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	0:0
English EFL Trophy
05.12.18	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	2:1
English League One
02.10.18	Walsall - Shrewsbury Town	0:0

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