Match Info

League Two - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Exercise Stadium (Harrogate)

Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Harrogate Town		Shrewsbury Town

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.7	2.25
	2.6	3.4	2.55
	2.82	3.35	2.38
	2.9	3.53	2.4
	3.46	2.60	2.49	Watch
	2.75	3.7	2.3	Watch
	2.65	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.52)	3.36 ↓ (3.39)	2.42 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harrogate Town
33.1%

Draw
28%

Shrewsbury Town
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

27.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

27%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Shrewsbury Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shrewsbury Town than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Harrogate Town - Shrewsbury Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Harrogate (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Harrogate (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Belshaw J. (G) 3. Slater J. 20. Faulkner B. 6. Burrell W. (C) 15. O'Connor A. 8. Morris B. 4. Evans J. 21. Taylor E. 22. Smith R. 11. Duke-McKenna S. 18. Muldoon J.	1. Harrison E. (G) 26. Stubbs S. 4. Anderson T. 5. Boyle W. (C) 10. Sang T. 14. Perry T. 38. England I. 6. Clucas S. 7. McDermott T. 20. Kabia I. 48. Ihionvien B.
Substitutes
2. Asare Z. 10. Bennett M. 5. Bradbury T. 14. McAleny C. 9. McCoulsky S. 1. Oxley M. (G) 17. Sutton L.	15. Aneke Ch. 8. Biggins H. 12. Brook W. (G) 2. Hoole L. 9. Lloyd G. 27. Marquis J. 22. Nsiala A.
Coaches
Weaver S.	Appleton M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Perry T. 🟨,
31', Taylor E. 🟨,
39', Sang T. 🟨,
39', Ihionvien B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', Stubbs S. ↓, Nsiala A. ↑,
60', Anderson T. ↓, Hoole L. ↑,
62', Evans J. 🟨,
65', 1 - 0, Muldoon J. ⚽,
71', Slater J. 🟨,
75', Perry T. ↓, Lloyd G. ↑,
75', Ihionvien B. ↓, Marquis J. ↑,
75', England I. ↓, Aneke Ch. ↑,
76', Taylor E. ↓, McAleny C. ↑,
81', Muldoon J. ↓, Bennett M. ↑,
87', 2 - 0, McAleny C. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 17 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).

Harrogate has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shrewsbury has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shrewsbury may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Shrewsbury has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Harrogate: Thomson G. (Injury)

There will not play in Shrewsbury: Scully A. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Harrogate: Cass L. (Injury) Gibson L. (Inactive) Hill T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Shrewsbury: Aneke Ch. (Inactive)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Harrogate Town - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.99%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Shrewsbury Town - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.51%, but this team recently wins 9% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harrogate Town
English League Two
13.09.25	Swindon Town - Harrogate Town	3:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
09.09.25	Mansfield Town - Harrogate Town	0:1 ✺
English League Two
06.09.25	Harrogate Town - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
30.08.25	Bromley - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Harrogate Town - Chesterfield	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLLL
- Shrewsbury Town
English League Two
13.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Salford City	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Barnet - Shrewsbury Town	1:3 ✺
English EFL Trophy
02.09.25	Shrewsbury Town - Walsall	1:3 ✺
English League Two
30.08.25	Shrewsbury Town - Accrington Stanley	0:0 ✺
English EFL Trophy
26.08.25	Shrewsbury Town - Chelsea U21	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LWLTW

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