Match Info

WALES: CYMRU SOUTH - ROUND 14

Date: 26 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Jenner Park (Barry)


	Barry Town United		Carmarthen Town

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	3.85
	1.63	4.13	3.86
	1.59	4.15	4.35
	1.64	4.2	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.63)	4.12 ↓ (4.14)	4.02 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barry Town United
55.7%

Draw
21.9%

Carmarthen Town
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

21.6%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

20.5%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barry Town United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Carmarthen Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Carmarthen Town aligns with the current prediction.

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barry Town won 5.

Barry Town is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carmarthen Town is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barry Town could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Barry Town is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barry Town to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Barry Town won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 20-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Barry Town won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barry Town United
Welsh Cymru South
18.11.22	Cambrian United - Barry Town United	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
12.11.22	Barry Town United - Gresford Athletic	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
05.11.22	Barry Town United - Trefelin	2:1 ✺
28.10.22	Swansea University - Barry Town United	0:3 ✺
21.10.22	Barry Town United - Llanelli	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLWWW
- Carmarthen Town
Welsh Cymru South
19.11.22	Carmarthen Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	2:4 ✺
04.11.22	Llanelli - Carmarthen Town	0:3 ✺
29.10.22	Carmarthen Town - Pontardawe Town	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Cwmbran Celtic - Carmarthen Town	3:5 ✺
14.10.22	Abergavenny Town - Carmarthen Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
29.08.22	Carmarthen Town - Barry Town United	0:1
Welsh Cymru Premier
18.01.20	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	7:1
30.08.19	Carmarthen Town - Barry Town United	0:1
14.12.18	Carmarthen Town - Barry Town United	2:3
13.10.18	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	1:0
27.04.18	Barry Town United - Carmarthen Town	1:0
09.03.18	Carmarthen Town - Barry Town United	0:1

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