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Current Win Probability
Cambrian United 23.2%
Draw 25.7%
Barry Town United 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
13.5%
20.2%
66.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
13.3%
19.9%
67.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cambrian United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cambrian United's performance.
Barry Town United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barry Town United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cambrian United than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cambrian United that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barry Town United than the current prediction. (+16.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barry Town United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
0%
40%
Cambrian United - Barry Town United Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Cambrian United will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Barry Town will win (votes: 2 - 40%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambrian United (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Cambrian United (2.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Cambrian United (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Davies M. (G) 11. Allen J. 9. Bateman C. 3. Birch D. 10. Eason L. 8. Edwards D. 2. Jones T. 12. Strinati C. 7. Williams C. 6. Woodford J. 31. Wright J. (C)
1. Thomas J. (G) 23. Barton D. 17. Cuddihy O. 2. George M. 22. Hulbert O. 5. Margetson B. 9. Owen I. 8. Richards E. 24. Richards W. 4. Sainty C. (C) 21. Williams E.
Substitutes
15. Cooper J. 4. Evans A. 16. Facey D. 13. Foggarty C. (G) 20. Gill B. 17. Johns L.
19. Bernard J. 16. Beynon J. 31. Ratcliffe G. (G) 48. Saunders K. 14. Smith D. 20. Thomas J. 42. Wigley M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
26', Allen J. 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Richards W. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
54', 0 - 2, Hulbert O. ⚽,
67', 🟨,
69', Williams C. ↓, Gill B. ↑,
70', Williams E. ↓, Bernard J. ↑,
78', 0 - 3, Margetson B. ⚽,
82', Richards E. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
90+2', Jones T. ↓, Facey D. ↑,
90+2', Allen J. ↓, Cooper J. ↑,
Preview
Cambrian United is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Barry Town is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Barry Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Barry Town is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cambrian United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.5:2.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Cambrian United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
United-kingdom
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Davies M. (G) 
Hulbert O. 
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