Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 16

Date: 4 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio del Club Defensores De Vilelas (Puerto Vilelas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Defensores de Vilelas		Sarmiento de La Banda

	1	X	2
	2.80	2.95	2.30
	2.55	2.88	2.70
	2.95	2.98	2.29
	2.75	3.12	2.60	Watch
	2.90	2.95	2.25
	3.12	3.12	2.34
	2.80	2.85	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)	2.98 ↑ (2.84)	2.41 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensores de Vilelas
32%

Draw
30.5%

Sarmiento de La Banda
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.5%

31.3%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

33.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensores de Vilelas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Sarmiento de La Banda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensores de Vilelas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarmiento de La Banda than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarmiento de La Banda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ferreyra M. (G) 2. Berlo B. 8. Canete G. 9. Carballo G. 6. Farias F. 4. Fernandez F. 11. Montenegro R. 10. Niz L. 5. Remotti L. 7. Rios G. 3. Turraca J.	1. Acuna F. (G) 4. Diaz C. 10. Diaz Cantoni M. 9. Garzon I. 6. Guzman G. 2. Nunez C. 11. Ochoa A. 5. Sanchez Arriola M. 3. Sanchez M. 8. Tevez A. 7. Veliz R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', Guzman G. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Sanchez Arriola M. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Rios G. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Canete G. ⚽,
72', Carballo G. ↓, Acevedo J. ↑,
72', Canete G. ↓, Larrasabal L. ↑,
75', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 0, Montenegro R. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: )).

Def de Vilelas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarmiento La Banda is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Def de Vilelas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Def de Vilelas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
21.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Tucuman Central - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Sarmiento de La Banda
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
12.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
07.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Sol de América de Formosa	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sarmiento de La Banda	0:1 ✺
25.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Boca Unidos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
03.05.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Defensores de Vilelas	1:2

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