Match Info

Torneo Federal - Round 17

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni (Posadas)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports, LPF Play


	Bartolomé Mitre		Defensores de Vilelas

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.30	5.50
	1.54	3.40	6.00
	1.55	3.40	5.79
	1.75	2.92	6.22	Watch
	1.49	3.15	5.70
	1.65	3.46	5.77
	1.3	4.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.48)	3.43 ↓ (3.7)	6.14 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bartolomé Mitre
58.7%

Draw
26.5%

Defensores de Vilelas
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

24.4%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

25.4%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bartolomé Mitre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

The chances for Defensores de Vilelas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bartolomé Mitre than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Defensores de Vilelas than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Bartolomé Mitre - Defensores de Vilelas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
	1. Ferreyra M. (G)
	2. Berlo B.
	8. Canete G.
	9. Carballo G. (C)
	6. Farias F.
	4. Fernandez F.
	11. Montenegro R.
	10. Niz L.
	5. Remotti L.
	7. Rios G.
	3. Turraca J.
Substitutes
	16. Acevedo J.
	15. Acevedo M.
	17. Canario J.
	12. Carrara F. (G)
	18. Larrasabal L.
	20. Moreno G.
	14. Navarro L.
	19. Ojeda G.
	13. Vargas A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 🟨,
55', 🟨,
84', 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 0, Esquivel L. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Winners stage: ) and 6 in the zone Torneo Federal (Losers stage: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Def de Vilelas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bartolomé Mitre is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bartolomé Mitre won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Bartolomé Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.26	Sarmiento de La Banda - Bartolomé Mitre	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Juventud Antoniana	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Sol de América de Formosa - Bartolomé Mitre	0:0 ✺
06.06.26	Bartolomé Mitre - Sarmiento de Resistencia	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Boca Unidos - Bartolomé Mitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTTWL
- Defensores de Vilelas
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.07.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sarmiento de La Banda	3:0 ✺
28.06.26	Juventud Antoniana - Defensores de Vilelas	4:0 ✺
21.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Sol de América de Formosa	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Defensores de Vilelas	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Boca Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
09.05.26	Defensores de Vilelas - Bartolomé Mitre	1:3

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