Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 21 January 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Barwell		Basford United

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Barwell
39.2%

Draw
26%

Basford United
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.3%

25.2%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

25.6%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 and 12).

Barwell is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Basford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barwell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barwell have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barwell won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.23	Barwell - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
02.01.23	Barwell - Rushall Olympic	1:2 ✺
27.12.22	Coalville Town - Barwell	3:2 ✺
17.12.22	Barwell - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TLLLW
- Basford United
English Southern League Central Division
14.01.23	Basford United - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
07.01.23	Leiston - Basford United	6:2 ✺
02.01.23	Basford United - Coalville Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.22	Ilkeston - Basford United	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Basford United - Royston Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLTW

Barwell - Basford United