Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Barwell		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.45
	2.31	3.7	2.5
	2.33	4.09	2.5
	2.36	3.89	2.6
	2.35	3.48	2.52
	2.31	3.7	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.92)	3.74 ↓ (3.8)	2.51 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
39.3%

Draw
24.4%

Bedford Town
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

24.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

25.7%

26.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barwell's form might have worsened.

Bedford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bedford Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+11.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bedford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barwell - Bedford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 1, Andrade B. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

Barwell has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bedford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barwell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Barwell have a series of guest games.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Barwell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:6 (average 2:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
25.01.25	Redditch United - Barwell	3:2 ✺
18.01.25	Alvechurch - Barwell	3:2 ✺
04.01.25	Barwell - Royston Town	0:3 ✺
01.01.25	Hitchin Town - Barwell	2:0 ✺
28.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Barwell	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.01.25	AFC Telford United - Bedford Town	6:2 ✺
25.01.25	Bedford Town - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
21.01.25	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	St Ives Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
11.01.25	Bedford Town - AFC Telford United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
19.10.24	Bedford Town - Barwell	1:3
17.12.22	Barwell - Bedford Town	1:2
13.08.22	Bedford Town - Barwell	3:2

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