Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 27

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday


	Leiston		Basford United

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.2	4.9
	1.57	4.3	4.96
	1.52	4.15	5.15
	1.53	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.74)	4.16 ↑ (3.9)	5 ↑ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
59.8%

Draw
22%

Basford United
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

22.2%

24.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leiston's performance.

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Basford United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leiston that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Basford United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Leiston - Basford United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs) and 11).

Leiston is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Basford is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Leiston have a series of guest games.

Recently Basford have a series of home games.

In this match Leiston is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Leiston won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
02.01.23	Kings Langley - Leiston	1:1 ✺
26.12.22	Leiston - Needham Market	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Folkestone Invicta - Leiston	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
10.12.22	Nuneaton Town - Leiston	2:1 ✺
06.12.22	Rushall Olympic - Leiston	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TWWLW
- Basford United
English Southern League Central Division
02.01.23	Basford United - Coalville Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.22	Ilkeston - Basford United	1:1 ✺
10.12.22	Basford United - Royston Town	3:1 ✺
06.12.22	Basford United - Kings Langley	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Basford United - Hitchin Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
27.08.22	Basford United - Leiston	2:0

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