Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Barwell		Berkhamsted

	1	X	2
	1.41	4.6	5.25
	1.44	4.5	5.5
	1.45	5.04	5.35
	1.46	5.04	5.35
	1.41	4.6	5.7
	1.44	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.75)	4.71 ↑ (4)	5.44 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
63.8%

Draw
19.4%

Berkhamsted
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

22.7%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

18.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barwell's performance.

Berkhamsted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Berkhamsted might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barwell that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berkhamsted than the current prediction. (+13.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Berkhamsted could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barwell - Berkhamsted Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 15 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Barwell is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Berkhamsted has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Berkhamsted could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barwell have a series of home games.

In this match Barwell is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
21.10.23	Barwell - Stamford	4:4 ✺
14.10.23	Nuneaton Town - Barwell	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.10.23	Barwell - Mickleover Sports	2:3 penalties ✺
English Southern League Central Division
30.09.23	Barwell - Leiston	2:3 ✺
25.09.23	Barwell - Mickleover Sports	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWLLL
- Berkhamsted FC
English Southern League Central Division
28.10.23	Berkhamsted - Kettering Town	2:3 ✺
24.10.23	Berkhamsted - Stratford Town	2:2 ✺
21.10.23	Coalville Town - Berkhamsted	9:0 ✺
14.10.23	Berkhamsted - Redditch United	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
06.10.23	Potters Bar Town - Berkhamsted	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

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