Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 32

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Barwell		Stamford

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.78
	2.38	3.39	2.61
	2.28	3.61	2.83
	2.3	3.1	2.7
	2.26	3.26	2.84
	2.12	3.5	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.14)	3.34 ↓ (3.39)	2.79 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
40.2%

Draw
27.2%

Stamford
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.5%

26.8%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

26.3%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Stamford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stamford than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Barwell - Stamford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, Wilson T. ⚽,
10', 1 - 1, Lobjoit L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 1, Hakeem Z. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 1.

Barwell has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stamford has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stamford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Stamford has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Stamford will win today's game, with odds of 2.68.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.7:1.5).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Stamford: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	Stamford	9	0	0	9	1:25	-24	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
13.02.26	Redditch United - Barwell	5:2 ✺
07.02.26	Barwell - Leiston	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Banbury United - Barwell	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Barwell - Real Bedford	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Stamford AFC
English Southern League Central Division
17.02.26	Stamford - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Stamford - Stourbridge	1:1 ✺
03.02.26	Quorn - Stamford	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Stamford - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:2 ✺
24.01.26	Stamford - Needham Market	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.10.25	Stamford - Barwell	0:4
08.03.25	Barwell - Stamford	0:1
10.09.24	Stamford - Barwell	3:1
24.02.24	Stamford - Barwell	4:0
21.10.23	Barwell - Stamford	4:4
English FA Trophy
27.11.18	Barwell - Stamford	4:3 penalties
24.11.18	Stamford - Barwell	1:1

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