Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 37

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Barwell		Kettering Town

	1	X	2
	4.55	3.95	1.55
	5.04	4.26	1.53
	5.06	4.4	1.55	Watch
	5	3.8	1.5
	4.68	4.37	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↑ (4.85)	4.16 ↑ (3.98)	1.55 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
18.8%

Draw
22%

Kettering Town
59.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

22.7%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

21.8%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Kettering Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kettering Town than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Barwell - Kettering Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 4)
4', 0 - 1, Rowe B. ⚽,
14', 0 - 2, Panter E. ⚽,
24', 1 - 2, Bruce C. ⚽,
37', 1 - 3, Jeche N. ⚽,
45', 1 - 4, Panter E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 2 - 4, Seaton J. ⚽,
82', 2 - 5, Fifield K. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 2.

Barwell has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Kettering is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kettering may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kettering has had a series of home games.

In this match, Kettering is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Kettering will win today's game, with odds of 1.54.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:20. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:13. (average 1.2:2.2).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Kettering: 2.32%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Kettering	9	5	3	1	16:6	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
21.03.26	Barwell - Sudbury Town	2:4 ✺
14.03.26	Worcester City - Barwell	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Barwell - Royston Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Harborough Town - Barwell	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Barwell - Halesowen Town	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kettering Town
English Southern League Central Division
24.03.26	Kettering Town - Banbury United	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Kettering Town - Quorn	3:1 ✺
17.03.26	Kettering Town - Sudbury Town	6:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sudbury Town - Kettering Town	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Kettering Town - Alvechurch	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
16.08.25	Kettering Town - Barwell	2:1
08.02.25	Kettering Town - Barwell	3:0
09.12.24	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:1
30.03.24	Kettering Town - Barwell	2:1
14.08.23	Barwell - Kettering Town	3:2
English FA Cup
17.09.22	Barwell - Kettering Town	1:4
Club Friendly
23.07.19	Barwell - Kettering Town	0:3

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