Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 35

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Worcester City		Barwell

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.35	6.5
	1.39	4.74	6.47
	1.4	4.89	6.53	Watch
	1.36	4	6.5
	1.36	4.45	7.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.44)	4.49 ↓ (4.5)	6.62 ↑ (6.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Worcester City
66%

Draw
20.3%

Barwell
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

20.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67%

20%

14.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Worcester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Worcester City than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Worcester City - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Dwyer A. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Lutz C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 2 - 1, Downing P. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Worcester is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Barwell has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Worcester may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Worcester has had a series of away games.

In this match, Worcester is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Worcester won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Worcester: 0.39%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Worcester	9	1	4	4	7:12	-5	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Worcester City
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Harborough Town - Worcester City	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Bishops Stortford - Worcester City	1:2 ✺
28.02.26	Royston Town - Worcester City	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Worcester City	0:1 ✺
14.02.26	Worcester City - Sudbury Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWT
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.26	Barwell - Royston Town	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Harborough Town - Barwell	3:0 ✺
23.02.26	Barwell - Halesowen Town	2:6 ✺
21.02.26	Barwell - Stamford	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Redditch United - Barwell	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.11.25	Barwell - Worcester City	0:2

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