Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 26

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday


	Barwell		Halesowen Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.05
	3.85	3.55	1.75
	4.11	3.85	1.77	Watch
	4	3.3	1.73
	4.28	3.58	1.7
	3.14	3.4	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.06)	3.5 ↓ (3.73)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
24.5%

Draw
26.1%

Halesowen Town
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

24.9%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

24.7%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barwell's form might have worsened.

Halesowen Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Halesowen Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Barwell - Halesowen Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 5)
5', 0 - 1, Cowley J. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Jarvis D. ⚽,
33', 1 - 2, Cowley J. ⚽,
36', 1 - 3, Cowley J. ⚽,
44', 1 - 4, Wollacott R. ⚽,
45+4', 1 - 5, Cowley J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
87', 1 - 6, Barnett T. (Penalty Awarded),
89', 2 - 6, Wilson T. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier Central (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Halesowen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Halesowen could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Barwell won 3 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Barwell won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).

Outrights of English Southern League Central Division for now

Halesowen: 1.52%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Halesowen	7	4	0	3	8:8	0	12

Last Results with these Odds

Barwell - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.32%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Halesowen Town - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.81%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
21.02.26	Barwell - Stamford	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Redditch United - Barwell	5:2 ✺
07.02.26	Barwell - Leiston	2:3 ✺
31.01.26	Banbury United - Barwell	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Barwell	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WLLLL
- Halesowen Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.02.26	Halesowen Town - Quorn	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Needham Market - Halesowen Town	3:0 ✺
31.01.26	Redditch United - Halesowen Town	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	St Ives Town - Halesowen Town	0:4 ✺
17.01.26	Halesowen Town - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.08.25	Halesowen Town - Barwell	3:1
12.04.25	Halesowen Town - Barwell	0:0
14.12.24	Barwell - Halesowen Town	0:5
02.03.24	Barwell - Halesowen Town	2:0
14.11.23	Halesowen Town - Barwell	1:1
26.01.19	Barwell - Halesowen Town	1:1
20.11.18	Halesowen Town - Barwell	0:2

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