Match Info

Date: 15 January 2022, Saturday


	Barwell		Peterborough Sports

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.1	1.57
	4.6	4.4	1.5
	4.97	4.48	1.56
	3.8	4	1.67
	4.95	4.6	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (4.1)	4.32 ↑ (4.25)	1.56 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
20.3%

Draw
21.2%

Peterborough Sports
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

21.8%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

14%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Peterborough Sports has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barwell, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peterborough Sports than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Peterborough Sports, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Barwell - Peterborough Sports Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).

Barwell is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Peterborough Sports is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Barwell have a series of home games.

In this match Peterborough Sports is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Barwell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
08.01.22	Barwell - Lowestoft Town	1:4 ✺
01.01.22	Barwell - Nuneaton Town	2:2 ✺
27.12.21	Barwell - Coalville Town	1:0 ✺
18.12.21	Barwell - St Ives Town	4:5 ✺
14.12.21	Barwell - Stourbridge	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTWLL
- Peterborough Sports FC
English Southern League Central Division
11.01.22	Tamworth - Peterborough Sports	0:2 ✺
04.01.22	Needham Market - Peterborough Sports	1:1 ✺
21.12.21	Peterborough Sports - Banbury United	2:3 ✺
18.12.21	Peterborough Sports - Nuneaton Town	4:0 ✺
11.12.21	Alvechurch - Peterborough Sports	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
17.08.21	Peterborough Sports - Barwell	3:1
10.10.20	Peterborough Sports - Barwell	3:0
07.01.20	Barwell - Peterborough Sports	2:0
21.12.19	Peterborough Sports - Barwell	5:4

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