Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 24

Date: 26 December 2023, Tuesday


	Barwell		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2
	3	3.6	2.05	Watch
	3.02	3.88	2.06
	3.02	3.88	2.07
	2.9	3.6	2
	3.02	3.6	2.03
	3	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.76)	3.67 ↑ (3.56)	2.04 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
30.4%

Draw
24.9%

Coalville Town
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

25.5%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.8%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Barwell - Coalville Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 11 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barwell won 2.

Barwell is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coalville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coalville will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Barwell won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
23.12.23	AFC Telford United - Barwell	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Barwell - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
09.12.23	Leamington - Barwell	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Barwell - Needham Market	1:2 ✺
27.11.23	St Ives Town - Barwell	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWTLL
- Coalville Town
English Southern League Central Division
23.12.23	Coalville Town - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Needham Market - Coalville Town	0:0 ✺
05.12.23	Alvechurch - Coalville Town	1:4 ✺
02.12.23	Stratford Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
25.11.23	Coalville Town - Halesowen Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
28.08.23	Coalville Town - Barwell	3:1
10.04.23	Barwell - Coalville Town	3:1
27.12.22	Coalville Town - Barwell	3:2
27.12.21	Barwell - Coalville Town	1:0
30.08.21	Coalville Town - Barwell	1:1
26.12.19	Coalville Town - Barwell	4:1
26.12.18	Barwell - Coalville Town	2:3

Barwell - Coalville Town: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide