Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 33

Date: 18 February 2023, Saturday


	Barwell		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.7	1.65
	4.34	3.94	1.7
	4.33	3.95	1.66
	4.33	3.75	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.28 ↓ (4.4)	3.84 ↓ (4)	1.67 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barwell
21.4%

Draw
23.8%

Tamworth
54.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

22.6%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

24.3%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tamworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tamworth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barwell - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barwell won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match Tamworth is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Barwell won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 6-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Barwell won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
11.02.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Barwell	0:1 ✺
06.02.23	Barwell - Leiston	2:3 ✺
04.02.23	Barwell - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Kings Langley - Barwell	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Barwell - Basford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWT
- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
11.02.23	Kings Langley - Tamworth	1:1 ✺
07.02.23	Tamworth - Stourbridge	0:3 ✺
04.02.23	Tamworth - Mickleover Sports	3:1 ✺
31.01.23	Tamworth - St Ives Town	2:1 ✺
28.01.23	Basford United - Tamworth	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Tamworth - Barwell	4:1
26.02.22	Tamworth - Barwell	6:0
06.11.21	Barwell - Tamworth	0:1
29.09.20	Tamworth - Barwell	2:1
17.09.19	Barwell - Tamworth	1:2
22.04.19	Barwell - Tamworth	0:1
01.01.19	Tamworth - Barwell	3:3

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