Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 30

Date: 28 January 2023, Saturday


	Basford United		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.73
	3.7	3.4	1.74
	3.8	3.6	1.76
	4.09	3.75	1.76
	3.94	3.78	1.76
	4	3.6	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (3.04)	3.61 ↑ (3.5)	1.75 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
23.2%

Draw
25.1%

Tamworth
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

26.3%

43.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

25.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basford United's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Basford United - Tamworth Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tamworth will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Basford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English Southern League Central Division
21.01.23	Barwell - Basford United	2:2 ✺
14.01.23	Basford United - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
07.01.23	Leiston - Basford United	6:2 ✺
02.01.23	Basford United - Coalville Town	0:2 ✺
26.12.22	Ilkeston - Basford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TWLLT
- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
21.01.23	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	9:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
14.01.23	Hungerford Town - Tamworth	2:1 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
07.01.23	Coalville Town - Tamworth	1:0 ✺
02.01.23	Tamworth - Alvechurch	3:0 ✺
26.12.22	Stratford Town - Tamworth	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
13.09.22	Tamworth - Basford United	2:1
Club Friendly
03.08.19	Tamworth - Basford United	0:0

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