Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Mutilvera		Basconia

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.1	2.88
	2.35	3.24	2.98
	2.12	3.33	3.18	Watch
	2.28	3.05	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.12)	3.18 ↓ (3.33)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mutilvera
40.7%

Draw
28.9%

Basconia
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

27.6%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

25.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mutilvera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Basconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mutilvera than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Mutilvera - Basconia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, ⚽,
63', 1 - 1, (Pen),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Mutilvera has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basconia is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Mutilvera is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Mutilvera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Utebo - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
16.11.25	Mutilvera - Zaragoza B	4:1 ✺
08.11.25	Eibar B - Mutilvera	1:2 ✺
02.11.25	Mutilvera - Sestao	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Mutilvera - Zaragoza	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LWWLL
- CD Basconia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.11.25	Basconia - UD Logroñés	3:3 ✺
15.11.25	Ebro - Basconia	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Basconia - Real Unión de Irun	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Beasain - Basconia	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Basconia - Náxara	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLLW

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