The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basconia 17.4%
Draw 26.3%
Sestao 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.5%
30.3%
46.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23%
29.6%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basconia's form might have worsened.
Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Basconia - Sestao Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Alba A. F. B. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 0, Larrea B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', 3 - 0, ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Fernandez O. ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Basconia won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
Watch
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