Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 11

Date: 17 November 2024, Sunday


	Basconia		Derio

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.25	4
	1.77	3.4	4.2
	1.78	3.23	4.04
	1.79	3.41	4.25	Watch
	1.74	3.44	4.28
	1.77	3.4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.73)	3.36 ↓ (3.48)	4.16 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
51.2%

Draw
27%

Derio
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

26.2%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Derio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derio than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Basconia - Derio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
88', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.11.24	Santurtzi - Basconia	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Basconia - Beasain	2:3 ✺
26.10.24	Pasaia - Basconia	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Basconia - San Ignacio	3:0 ✺
13.10.24	Basconia - Padura	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TLLWT
- CD Derio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
09.11.24	Derio - Leioa	0:1 ✺
01.11.24	Aretxabaleta - Derio	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Portugalete - Derio	1:0 ✺
06.10.24	Touring KE - Derio	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	Derio - Deusto	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
27.01.24	Derio - Basconia	0:0
10.09.23	Basconia - Derio	2:1

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