Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 15

Date: 15 December 2024, Sunday


	Basconia		Durango

	1	X	2
	1.41	4	6.5
	1.39	4.1	7.2
	1.41	4.09	5.98
	1.43	4.18	6.76	Watch
	1.38	4.15	7.5
	1.39	4.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↑ (1.36)	4.1 ↓ (4.42)	6.86 ↓ (7.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basconia
64.7%

Draw
22.1%

Durango
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

20.6%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.5%

19.3%

11.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basconia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Durango has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basconia than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basconia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Durango than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Basconia - Durango Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 🟥,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Basconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
05.12.24	Urduliz - Basconia	0:3 ✺
30.11.24	Basconia - Lagun Onak	5:1 ✺
23.11.24	Alavés C - Basconia	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Basconia - Derio	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Santurtzi - Basconia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWT
- SCD Durango
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.12.24	Durango - Leioa	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Aretxabaleta - Durango	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Durango - San Viator	6:0 ✺
16.11.24	Portugalete - Durango	2:0 ✺
01.11.24	Touring KE - Durango	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
28.03.24	Basconia - Durango	1:1
11.11.23	Durango - Basconia	1:2
22.04.23	Basconia - Durango	5:1
07.01.23	Durango - Basconia	2:3
15.01.22	Durango - Basconia	0:1
11.09.21	Basconia - Durango	0:1
20.12.20	Basconia - Durango	1:1

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