Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: St. Jakob-Park (Basel) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Denmark	19:00	TV2 Sport X
Slovakia	19:00	Arena sport 1
Switzerland	19:00	SRF


	Basel		Brøndby

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.25	Watch
	1.6	3.9	5.25
	1.56	4	6.2
	1.61	3.9	5.2
	1.59	3.93	5.97
				Watch
	1.48	4.15	6.05	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.8)	3.98 ↑ (3.4)	5.65 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basel
59.8%

Draw
23.6%

Brøndby
16.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.9%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

28.6%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel's performance.

Brøndby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brøndby might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brøndby than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	6.9%	19%

Basel - Brøndby Predictions

Users Predictions: 58 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 43 - 74.1%). Brøndby will win (votes: 11 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 6.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 62.8% – 85.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Basel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Basel is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Basel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
07.08.22	Basel - Young Boys	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Brøndby - Basel	1:0 ✺
28.07.22	Crusaders - Basel	1:1 ✺
Swiss Super League
24.07.22	Basel - Servette	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Basel - Crusaders	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLTTW
- Brøndby IF
Danish Superliga
07.08.22	Copenhagen - Brøndby	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Brøndby - Basel	1:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
31.07.22	Silkeborg IF - Brøndby	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Brøndby - Pogoń Szczecin	4:0 ✺
Danish Superliga
24.07.22	Brøndby - Nordsjælland	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Brøndby - Basel	1:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Basel
Swiss Super League
01.11.26	Lugano - Basel	✺
- Brøndby IF
Danish Superliga
01.11.26	Brøndby - AGF Aarhus	✺

Basel - Brøndby