The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel 41.8%
Draw 25.8%
Servette 32.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.8%
24.8%
29.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
25.7%
28.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Servette has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
55.6%
11.1%
Basel - Servette Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Servette will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.4% โ 84.6%.
1. Hitz M. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 4. Omeragic B. 3. Vouilloz N. 31. Schmid D. 5. Metinho 8. Koindredi K. 21. Salah I. 10. Shaqiri X. (C) 11. Traore B. 37. Koloto G.
1. Mall J. (G) 34. Allix T. 4. Rouiller S. (C) 15. Burch M. 14. Njoh L. 9. Stevanovic M. 28. Douline D. 8. Cognat T. 10. Kadile J. 38. Ishuayed Sanchez M. 97. Aye F.
Substitutes
23. Ajeti Al. 14. Bacanin A. 29. Cisse M. 24. Daniliuc F. 18. Duranville J. 22. Leroy L. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M. 25. van Breemen F.
11. Fomba L. 32. Frick J. (G) 21. Guillemenot J. 30. Jallow A. 36. Lopes T. 17. Mendes H. 7. Morandi G. 90. Mraz S. 5. Ondoua G.
Coaches
Lichtsteiner S.
Gourvennec J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Omeragic B. ↓, Daniliuc F. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Schmid D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', Allix T. 🟨,
48', 2 - 0, Metinho ⚽,
56', Ishuayed Sanchez M. ↓, Lopes T. ↑,
56', Allix T. ↓, Mendes H. ↑,
61', Mendes H. 🟨,
71', Koloto G. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
71', Salah I. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
74', Aye F. ↓, Mraz S. ↑,
74', Stevanovic M. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
79', Koindredi K. ↓, Leroy L. ↑,
79', Shaqiri X. ↓, Bacanin A. ↑,
81', Douline D. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
88', 2 - 1, Mraz S. ⚽, Kadile J. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Metinho ⚽, Leroy L. (A),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Basel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Basel could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Basel: Daniliuc F.
(Injury)
Kaio Eduardo
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Servette: Bronn D.
(Inactive)
Mazikou B.
(Yellow Cards)
Severin Y.
(Injury)
Srdanovic L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Basel: Shaqiri X.
(Injury)
Tsunemoto K.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Servette: Frick J.
(Hip Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 44:22. (average 2.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 27:9. (average 2.5:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Servette
10
4
1
5
14:13
1
13
6
Basel
9
4
1
4
17:17
0
13
Last Results with these Odds
Basel - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.82%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Servette - the odds 3.21 are the expected chance of winning is 29.41%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.