The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel 69.1%
Draw 17.9%
Lausanne Ouchy 13%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
21.6%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.1%
21.1%
17.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basel's performance.
Lausanne Ouchy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basel than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lausanne Ouchy than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
8.3%
16.7%
Basel - Lausanne Ouchy Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Basel will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Lausanne Ouchy will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Basel: 50.5% โ 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 26. Barisic A. L. 32. Adjetey J. 25. van Breemen F. 30. Kade A. 37. Avdullahu L. 34. Xhaka T. 31. Schmid D. 20. Frei F. (C) 21. Sigua G. 9. Barry T.
1. Da Silva D. (G) 26. Diakite I. 23. Kadima R. 5. Hajrulahu L. (C) 4. Pos L. 28. Mahmoud E. 14. Gharbi I. 24. Akichi E. 10. Qarri M. 18. Mulaj L. 11. Damascan V.
Substitutes
23. Ajeti Al. 4. Comas A. 6. Drager M. 17. Hunziker A. 28. Kacuri D. 7. Kololli B. 22. Lopez S. 13. Salvi M. (G) 3. Vouilloz N.
29. Abdallah M. 7. Abi C. 17. Ajdini A. 6. Bamba G. 8. Bayard R. 20. Garcia N. 27. Gassama L. 77. Heule M. 74. Vachoux J. (G)
Coaches
Celestini F.
Dionisio R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Da Silva D. ↓, Vachoux J. ↑,
40', Barisic A. L. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
43', Gharbi I. 🟨,
45+6', Xhaka T. 🟨,
45+6', Vachoux J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Sigua G. ↓, Kololli B. ↑,
49', Schmid D. 🟨,
58', Pos L. 🟨,
58', Xhaka T. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Ajeti Al. ⚽, van Breemen F. (A),
64', Mulaj L. ↓, Heule M. ↑,
64', Damascan V. ↓, Ajdini A. ↑,
74', Schmid D. ↓, Drager M. ↑,
74', Avdullahu L. ↓, Kacuri D. ↑,
88', Diakite I. ↓, Abi C. ↑,
88', Akichi E. ↓, Bayard R. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 0, Drager M. ⚽, Barry T. (A),
Preview
Basel is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Lausanne Ouchy is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Lausanne Ouchy could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Basel is indisputable favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Basel won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Basel won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.
Watch
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Hitz M. (G) 
Barisic A. L. 
Adjetey J. 
van Breemen F. 
Kade A. 
Xhaka T. 
Sigua G. 
Barry T. 
Diakite I. 
Hajrulahu L. (C) 
Pos L. 
Gharbi I. 
Akichi E. 
Damascan V. 
Drager M. 
Abdallah M. 
Bamba G. 
Gassama L. 
Dionisio R. 
