The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basel 53.8%
Draw 24.1%
Luzern 22.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.4%
19.7%
18%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.9%
19.2%
17.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basel's form might have worsened.
Luzern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luzern than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Basel - Luzern Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Basel will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Hitz M. (G) 27. Ruegg K. 24. Daniliuc F. 26. Barisic A. 31. Schmid D. 9. Agbonifo J. 22. Leroy L. 5. Metinho 7. Otele P. 17. Broschinski M. 10. Shaqiri X. (C)
1. Loretz P. (G) 20. Dorn P. (C) 5. Knezevic S. 4. Bajrami A. 46. Freimann B. 73. Silva Ferreira L. M. 6. Abe T. 24. Owusu T. 11. Di Giusto M. 9. Grbic A. 27. Villiger L.
Substitutes
32. Adjetey J. 23. Ajeti Al. 14. Bacanin A. 29. Cisse M. 39. Junior Ze 21. Salah I. 13. Salvi M. (G) 19. Soticek M. 3. Vouilloz N.
14. Ciganiks A. 22. Dantas R. 16. Kabwit O. 10. Karweina S. 2. Ottiger S. 7. Spadanuda K. 90. Vasic V. (G) 19. Vasovic A. 29. Winkler L.
Coaches
Magnin L.
Frick M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Owusu T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Schmid D. ⚽, Otele P. (A),
55', 1 - 2, Silva Ferreira L. M. ⚽,
56', Broschinski M. ↓, Ajeti Al. ↑,
56', Agbonifo J. ↓, Soticek M. ↑,
57', Silva Ferreira L. M. ↓, Ottiger S. ↑,
59', Dorn P. 🟨,
62', Ruegg K. ↓, Vouilloz N. ↑,
62', Shaqiri X. ↓, Salah I. ↑,
69', Abe T. ↓, Winkler L. ↑,
69', Dorn P. ↓, Spadanuda K. ↑,
74', Freimann B. ↓, Ciganiks A. ↑,
87', Daniliuc F. ↓, Junior Ze ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Basel won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, Basel has had a series of away games.
In this match, Basel is the team to beat.
There will not play in Basel: Hitz M.
(Muscle Injury)
Traore B.
(Leg Injury)
van Breemen F.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Luzern: Lofgren J.
(Hernia)
Zimmermann M.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Basel: Koindredi K.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Basel won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 39:20. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Basel won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:12. (average 2.1:1.2).
Switzerland
Ukraine
Watch
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Hitz M. (G) 
Daniliuc F. 
Barisic A. 
Agbonifo J. 
Leroy L. 
Metinho 
Otele P. 
Broschinski M. 
Bajrami A. 
Silva Ferreira L. M. 
Abe T. 
Adjetey J. 
Bacanin A. 
Salah I. 
Soticek M. 
Ciganiks A. 
Frick M. 
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