Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 7

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Basford United		Barwell

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	2.75
	1.83	3.45	3.4
	2.16	3.64	2.78
	2.21	3.5	2.88
	2.1	3.75	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.85)	3.57 ↑ (3.5)	2.92 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
43.6%

Draw
25.4%

Barwell
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

25.8%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

24.6%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basford United's form might have worsened.

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barwell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barwell, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Basford United - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 7 and 18).

Basford is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Barwell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Basford will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English Southern League Central Division
07.03.23	Nuneaton Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Basford United - St Ives Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.23	Alvechurch - Basford United	2:1 ✺
25.02.23	Hednesford Town - Basford United	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Basford United - Mickleover Sports	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLTL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
04.03.23	Barwell - Redditch United	1:0 ✺
25.02.23	St Ives Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
20.02.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Barwell - Tamworth	0:2 ✺
11.02.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Barwell	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
21.01.23	Barwell - Basford United	2:2

Basford United - Barwell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide