Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 24

Date: 1 January 2025, Wednesday


	Hitchin Town		Barwell

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.15	3.55	2
	3.29	3.79	2.01	Watch
	3.2	3.4	1.95
	3.24	3.5	1.98
	3.15	3.55	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.71)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
28.5%

Draw
25.6%

Barwell
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

25.4%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hitchin Town's form might have worsened.

Barwell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Barwell's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barwell than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Hitchin Town - Barwell Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Stokoe D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 2 - 0, Jones C. ⚽,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1.

Hitchin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Barwell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barwell will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:14 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:5 (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.12.24	Hitchin Town - AFC Telford United	3:3 ✺
26.12.24	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Hitchin Town - Stamford	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Sudbury Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	St Ives Town - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLLTL
- Barwell
English Southern League Central Division
28.12.24	Lowestoft Town - Barwell	1:0 ✺
26.12.24	Barwell - Harborough Town	2:2 ✺
21.12.24	Banbury United - Barwell	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Barwell - Halesowen Town	0:5 ✺
09.12.24	Barwell - Kettering Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
26.08.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	4:0
03.02.24	Barwell - Hitchin Town	2:0
23.09.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	0:0
20.02.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	1:1
06.08.22	Barwell - Hitchin Town	1:2
27.11.21	Barwell - Hitchin Town	2:1
13.09.21	Hitchin Town - Barwell	3:2

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