Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 16

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Basford United		Bedford Town

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.1	6.25
	1.45	4.2	4.8
	1.41	4.4	5.8
	1.46	4.42	6.04
	1.41	4.45	6.25
	1.44	4.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.81)	4.35 ↑ (3.7)	5.77 ↑ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
63.4%

Draw
20.9%

Bedford Town
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

24.2%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

24.9%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Basford United's performance.

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bedford Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Basford United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bedford Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Basford United - Bedford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Basford will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Bedford will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 10 and 12).

Basford is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Bedford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Basford have a series of guest games.

Basford will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English Southern League Central Division
05.11.22	Stratford Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
01.11.22	Mickleover Sports - Basford United	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Basford United - Marine	1:2 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
24.10.22	Redditch United - Basford United	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	St Ives Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLT
- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
05.11.22	Mickleover Sports - Bedford Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Needham Market - Bedford Town	0:0 ✺
25.10.22	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
22.10.22	Bedford Town - Coalville Town	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Bedford Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 LTLWW

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