Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Coalville Town

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.1	1.52
	4.4	4.3	1.55
	4.49	4.35	1.6
	4.85	4.45	1.51
	4.5	4.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.6 ↑ (3.25)	4.31 ↑ (3.95)	1.55 ↓ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
19.8%

Draw
21.2%

Coalville Town
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

22.7%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22.4%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Coalville Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Coalville Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coalville Town than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coalville Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Coalville Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs)).

Bedford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coalville is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Coalville could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Coalville will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Bedford Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
04.10.22	Nuneaton Town - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
01.10.22	Bedford Town - Stourbridge	2:4 ✺
27.09.22	Leiston - Bedford Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLLL
- Coalville Town
English FA Cup
15.10.22	Notts County - Coalville Town	2:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.22	Coalville Town - Redditch United	2:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Coalville Town - Ilkeston	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
01.10.22	Coalville Town - Sudbury Town	3:0 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
27.09.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Coalville Town	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WTWWW

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