Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 25

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	Basford United		Marine

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.5	1.72
	4.2	3.6	1.72	Watch
	4.19	3.86	1.76
	4.03	3.86	1.75
	4.2	3.5	1.67
	4.2	3.58	1.71
	4.2	3.6	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.4)	3.64 ↓ (3.66)	1.72 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
22.1%

Draw
25%

Marine
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

24.8%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

24.3%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Basford United - Marine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Basford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Marine is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marine could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marine is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Basford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Worksop Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Basford United - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Morpeth Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
09.12.23	Basford United - Ashton United	1:2 ✺
02.12.23	Basford United - Whitby Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLT
- Marine FC
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.23	Marine - Warrington Rylands	1:1 ✺
23.12.23	Whitby Town - Marine	1:1 ✺
19.12.23	Atherton Collieries - Marine	0:5 ✺
16.12.23	Marine - Gainsborough Trinity	3:1 ✺
12.12.23	Morpeth Town - Marine	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
28.08.23	Marine - Basford United	2:0
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Basford United - Marine	1:2
English NPL Premier Division
20.04.19	Basford United - Marine	0:0
25.08.18	Marine - Basford United	1:4

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