Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 33

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday


	Bedford Town		Alvechurch

	1	X	2
	2.42	3.5	2.49
	2.46	3.55	2.61
	2.48	3.55	2.63
	2.41	3.34	2.53
	2.42	3.5	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.85)	3.49 ↓ (3.6)	2.55 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bedford Town
37.7%

Draw
26.3%

Alvechurch
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.4%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

24.4%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bedford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bedford Town's form might have worsened.

Alvechurch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alvechurch's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bedford Town than the current prediction. (+13.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bedford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alvechurch than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alvechurch, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bedford Town - Alvechurch Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Lobjoit L. (Pen),

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 12).

Bedford is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Alvechurch is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:9 (average 0:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Bedford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:6 (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bedford Town
English Southern League Central Division
21.02.25	Bedford Town - Kettering Town	3:1 ✺
15.02.25	Sudbury Town - Bedford Town	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Bedford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	3:0 ✺
04.02.25	Royston Town - Bedford Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Barwell - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWWLW
- Alvechurch FC
English Southern League Central Division
18.02.25	Banbury United - Alvechurch	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Halesowen Town - Alvechurch	2:2 ✺
04.02.25	Alvechurch - Bishops Stortford	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	St Ives Town - Alvechurch	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Alvechurch - AFC Telford United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.11.24	Alvechurch - Bedford Town	1:0
25.03.23	Alvechurch - Bedford Town	2:0
25.10.22	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	0:3
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Bedford Town - Alvechurch	0:3

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