Match Info

Date: 12 October 2021, Tuesday


	Basford United		Buxton

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.25
	2.85	3.2	2.25
	2.98	3.35	2.32
	2.7	3.1	2.38
	2.84	3.4	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.51)	3.27 ↓ (3.52)	2.3 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
32.4%

Draw
27.9%

Buxton
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.3%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

19.2%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+18.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buxton, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Basford United - Buxton Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Basford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buxton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Buxton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	South Shields - Basford United	0:1 ✺
05.10.21	Basford United - United of Manchester	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.10.21	Basford United - Banbury United	0:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
28.09.21	Warrington Town - Basford United	2:3 ✺
25.09.21	Nantwich Town - Basford United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLLWW
- Buxton FC
English NPL Premier Division
09.10.21	Radcliffe - Buxton	2:3 ✺
05.10.21	Buxton - Whitby Town	4:1 ✺
28.09.21	Gainsborough Trinity - Buxton	0:0 ✺
25.09.21	Buxton - Morpeth Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
18.09.21	Buxton - Rushall Olympic	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.03.20	Basford United - Buxton	0:2
09.03.19	Basford United - Buxton	2:0
04.09.18	Buxton - Basford United	1:0

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