Match Info

National League North - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Radcliffe		Buxton

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.7	3.6
	1.88	3.65	3.45
	1.84	3.81	3.89
	1.82	3.91	3.77	Watch
	1.83	3.5	3.8
	1.86	3.82	3.71
	1.78	3.75	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.98)	3.73 ↓ (3.74)	3.72 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Radcliffe
50.4%

Draw
24.7%

Buxton
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.8%

24.8%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

25.9%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Radcliffe - Buxton Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Buxton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Afuye M. ⚽,
45+5', 1 - 1, Brennan L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 1 - 2, Gilsenan Z. ⚽,
62', 1 - 3, Burton K. ⚽,
82', 1 - 4, Greaves O. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 5, Douglas C. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Radcliffe won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Buxton may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Radcliffe has had a series of away games.

Radcliffe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Radcliffe won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:19. (average 0.9:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Radcliffe won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Buxton	14	7	2	5	26:23	3	23
21	Radcliffe	14	5	0	9	16:24	-8	15

Last Results with these Odds

Radcliffe - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 46.84%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Radcliffe FC
English National League North
20.01.26	Marine - Radcliffe	3:0 ✺
17.01.26	Spennymoor Town - Radcliffe	2:3 ✺
06.01.26	Macclesfield Town - Radcliffe	2:1 ✺
30.12.25	Radcliffe - Fylde	3:3 ✺
26.12.25	Curzon Ashton - Radcliffe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLTW
- Buxton FC
English National League North
17.01.26	Buxton - Marine	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Oxford City - Buxton	2:1 ✺
03.01.26	Buxton - South Shields	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Buxton - Worksop Town	3:1 ✺
26.12.25	Macclesfield Town - Buxton	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
09.08.25	Buxton - Radcliffe	2:1
15.02.25	Buxton - Radcliffe	0:1
29.10.24	Radcliffe - Buxton	0:2
English NPL Premier Division
12.03.22	Buxton - Radcliffe	3:0
09.10.21	Radcliffe - Buxton	2:3
19.09.20	Buxton - Radcliffe	4:2
English FA Trophy
14.11.15	Buxton - Radcliffe	5:1

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