Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 22

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday


	Basford United		United of Manchester

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.45
	2.31	3.65	2.55
	2.45	3.62	2.59
	2.46	3.66	2.6
	2.2	3.9	2.5
	2.36	3.44	2.53
	2.31	3.65	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.3)	3.65 ↑ (3.47)	2.54 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
39.1%

Draw
25%

United of Manchester
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

26.2%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

27.2%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

United of Manchester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (-3%)

Basford United - United of Manchester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', 1 - 0, Hallam J. ⚽,
65', 1 - 1, Palinkas J. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Grivosti M. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Basford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Basford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:12 (average 1.1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Basford United - Halifax Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Ashton United - Basford United	4:3 ✺
26.11.24	Workington - Basford United	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Basford United - Prescot Cables	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
16.11.24	St Albans City - Basford United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WLLTW
- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
03.12.24	Blyth Spartans - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
30.11.24	United of Manchester - Mickleover Sports	2:1 ✺
23.11.24	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	1:0 ✺
16.11.24	United of Manchester - Workington	2:2 ✺
09.11.24	Leek Town - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
07.09.24	United of Manchester - Basford United	0:1
23.03.24	United of Manchester - Basford United	2:0
21.10.23	Basford United - United of Manchester	1:1
19.03.22	United of Manchester - Basford United	3:2
05.10.21	Basford United - United of Manchester	0:1
08.02.20	Basford United - United of Manchester	1:1
English FA Trophy
09.11.19	United of Manchester - Basford United	3:1

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