The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Basford United 25.4%
Draw 24.6%
Gainsborough Trinity 50%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
25.2%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
24.4%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basford United's form might have worsened.
Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gainsborough Trinity's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gainsborough Trinity, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
0%
75%
Basford United - Gainsborough Trinity Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Basford will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Gainsborough will win (votes: 3 - 75%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Abdullah M. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Butroid L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 3.
Basford has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Gainsborough is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Basford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Basford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14:12 (average 1.6:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:4 (average 2.3:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Basford United - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.47%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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