Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 28 December 2024, Saturday


	Basford United		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.75	1.68
	4	3.85	1.7
	3.85	4.18	1.7
	3.99	4.19	1.74	Watch
	4	3.6	1.7
	4.11	3.84	1.68
	4	3.85	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.98 ↑ (3.78)	3.89 ↑ (3.85)	1.7 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Basford United
22.9%

Draw
23.4%

Worksop Town
53.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.1%

23.6%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.8%

23.3%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Basford United - Worksop Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 3)
54', 0 - 1, Hughes L. ⚽,
59', 0 - 2, Hughes L. ⚽,
65', 1 - 2, Chambers A. ⚽,
67', 1 - 3, Martin A. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Basford is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Worksop is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Basford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Worksop have a series of home games.

In this match Worksop is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Basford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 2:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
21.12.24	Leek Town - Basford United	4:1 ✺
14.12.24	Basford United - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	Basford United - Halifax Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English NPL Premier Division
30.11.24	Ashton United - Basford United	4:3 ✺
26.11.24	Workington - Basford United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LLWLL
- Worksop Town
English NPL Premier Division
21.12.24	Worksop Town - United of Manchester	1:1 ✺
17.12.24	Worksop Town - Warrington Rylands	3:3 ✺
14.12.24	Worksop Town - Leek Town	2:0 ✺
07.12.24	Ilkeston - Worksop Town	3:0 ✺
30.11.24	Worksop Town - Stockton Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
14.09.24	Worksop Town - Basford United	6:3
English NPL Premier Division
01.04.24	Basford United - Worksop Town	3:1
26.12.23	Worksop Town - Basford United	1:0

Upcoming Matches