Match Info

ENGLAND: FA Trophy - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday


	Gainsborough Trinity		York City

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.4	1.39
	6	4.6	1.44
	6.09	4.92	1.42
	6	4.2	1.44
	6.29	4.55	1.42
	6	4.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.02 ↓ (6.93)	4.55 ↓ (4.85)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gainsborough Trinity
15.3%

Draw
20.2%

York City
64.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.4%

19.1%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

18.5%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gainsborough Trinity has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gainsborough Trinity than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gainsborough Trinity - York City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Howe D. ⚽,

Preview

Recent matches Gainsborough is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

York is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gainsborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match York is certain favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gainsborough won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Gainsborough won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gainsborough Trinity
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.25	Worksop Town - Gainsborough Trinity	4:1 ✺
26.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Guiseley	0:2 ✺
21.12.24	Morpeth Town - Gainsborough Trinity	1:0 ✺
17.12.24	Gainsborough Trinity - Hyde United	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Lancaster City - Gainsborough Trinity	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWW
- York City
English National League
01.01.25	York City - Gateshead	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	York City - Southend United	3:0 ✺
14.12.24	Tamworth - York City	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
07.12.24	York City - Darlington	3:1 ✺
English National League
30.11.24	York City - Maidenhead United	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
14.04.18	Gainsborough Trinity - York City	1:0
12.09.17	York City - Gainsborough Trinity	1:1

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