Match Info
ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 26Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday
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 |
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Basford United |
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Lancaster City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
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 |
2.27 |
3.55 |
2.85 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.67 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.4 |
2.62 |
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 |
2.14 |
3.66 |
3.03 |
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 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↓
(2.4) |
3.55 ↑
(3.42) |
2.83 ↑
(2.57) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Basford United
41.5% | Draw
26% | Lancaster City
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Basford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+1.8%)Basford United - Lancaster City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Beeden H. ⚽,
- 41', 0 - 2, Sloan C. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 73', 0 - 3, Shaw B. ⚽,
- 83', 0 - 4, Cox C. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 2. Recent matches Basford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Lancaster is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 9 head-to-head matches Basford won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.6:1). Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 2.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Basford United - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.92%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Lancaster City - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.48%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English NPL Premier Division | | | 10.08.24 | Lancaster City - Basford United | 3:2 | | 02.03.24 | Lancaster City - Basford United | 1:0 | | 31.10.23 | Basford United - Lancaster City | 1:0 | | 11.12.21 | Lancaster City - Basford United | 1:0 | | 11.09.21 | Basford United - Lancaster City | 1:0 | | 26.09.20 | Lancaster City - Basford United | 1:2 | | 24.08.19 | Basford United - Lancaster City | 4:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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