Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 18

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday


	Basford United		Radcliffe

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.4	1.41
	6	4.5	1.4	Watch
	5.01	4.62	1.5
	5.23	4.92	1.45
	6	4.5	1.35
	6.24	4.5	1.4
	6	4.5	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.75 ↑ (2.38)	4.56 ↑ (3.4)	1.42 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basford United
15.8%

Draw
19.9%

Radcliffe
64.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

26.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basford United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Basford United's form might have worsened.

Radcliffe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Radcliffe's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basford United than the current prediction. (+23%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Basford United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radcliffe than the current prediction. (-29.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Radcliffe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Basford United - Radcliffe Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Basford will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Radcliffe will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 18 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

Recent matches Basford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Radcliffe is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Basford won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Basford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basford United
English NPL Premier Division
06.01.24	Stafford Rangers - Basford United	0:1 ✺
30.12.23	Basford United - Marine	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Worksop Town - Basford United	1:0 ✺
23.12.23	Basford United - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
16.12.23	Morpeth Town - Basford United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLLT
- Radcliffe FC
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Radcliffe - Barnet	1:2 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
09.01.24	Lancaster City - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Radcliffe - Workington	3:1 ✺
26.12.23	Radcliffe - Bradford Park Avenue	3:0 ✺
23.12.23	Hyde United - Radcliffe	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
05.03.22	Radcliffe - Basford United	3:0
23.10.21	Basford United - Radcliffe	1:2
10.10.20	Radcliffe - Basford United	0:3
23.11.19	Radcliffe - Basford United	3:0
31.08.19	Basford United - Radcliffe	1:0

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